19 小時前
If you want to bet $1000 on Renate Reinsve to win Oscars: Best Actress, A market buy on Polymarket would cause 63% slippage. Using my bot you would save $202.25 (OVER 20%!) by capturing the slippage yourself.
20 小時前
The dirty little secret of Prediction Markets... is that Arb bots make millions off of retail due to neg-risk market inefficiencies. I created a bot to capture the arb for the retail traders themselves. In the screenshot below, using this bot you would save $800 on a $10k buy! How does it work? Neg Risk markets are prediction markets where the sum of all options should equal $1. Since there is only one winner, every other option must lose, and therefore these markets are arbitrage goldmines. For example, "Who will win USA Presidency in 2028?", If you sum the price of all candidate YES tokens, it should equal $1. When retail buyers come in and make a large buy, they shift the odds on the market. Arb bots race to rebalance the market and make risk free profit. This happens hundreds if not thousands of times a day and adds up to millions of dollars annually. What does my bot do? My bot let's retail choose their buy amount, in the screenshot below it's $10,000. Then my bot calculates the arbitrage, bundles the arbitrage with the market buy, and makes the retail buy much more efficient. Should I polish this up and release to the public?
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