米花Lilac_OKX

We have launched the Creative Star Mining Event ⭐ Original text: https://oyidl.me/ul/AgFLyfX We don't look at traffic or followers; as long as you have content, ideas, and unique perspectives, you can tag us in the comments after each post. We look forward to more friends being selected! Additionally, if you want to stay updated on more planetary activities, you can apply to join the public information group on my homepage.

May Countdown | The crypto market is waiting for two key answers 【1. Powell's farewell speech: a dovish close or a hawkish farewell?】 This Wednesday, April 29, Powell will host his last FOMC press conference. According to the plan, he will officially step down on May 15, marking the end of his 8-year term as Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Powell is currently facing a dilemma ➜ Dovish route "prepared to act" Current inflation is still at 3.3%, and the core PCE was just raised to 2.7% in March, while the situation in the Middle East continues to push oil prices higher—releasing a rate cut signal at this juncture would almost be equivalent to admitting to political pressure. But if he doesn't leave any room for easing, his successor, Waller, will have to face the dilemma of "should we make a sharp turn" as soon as he takes office #沃什提名落定：首位持币Fed主席 ➜ Hawkish stance "wait-and-see" The dollar is strengthening, and risk assets are under short-term pressure. Although the principles of monetary policy have been maintained, the "soft landing" achievement that Powell has always wanted to leave behind may very well go down the drain. A single word difference will lead to two completely different market directions. 【2. Trump frequently expresses support; how much has the crypto bill actually progressed?】 Trump has publicly expressed support for the crypto industry multiple times, but the reality is that the CLARITY Act passed the House last July with a significant majority of 294 votes in favor and 134 against, yet it has been lying in the Senate for 9 months with no progress. 👀 Where does the resistance actually come from❓ • The banking industry opposes the stablecoin revenue provisions in the bill; • There has been no conclusion on the DeFi compliance-related provisions; • The two hacking incidents in April this year involving KelpDAO (which lost $292 million) and Drift Protocol (which lost $285 million) have given the opposition new excuses; Even though more than 120 crypto companies have jointly urged for progress, Treasury Secretary Yellen even personally published an article in The Wall Street Journal, characterizing this bill as a "national security issue," but Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott has yet to provide a specific date for the committee's review #加密立法倒计时：525最后窗口 💡 Whether the bill can be successfully passed is a matter of public expectation or a distant dream. The May countdown is on, let's wait for the results to be unveiled together👀

Sharing a bit about OKX in daily life~

People are always forgiving of their past selves: —— Imperfection is due to inexperience, and there's no point in lamenting what cannot be changed. But while individuals can be lenient with themselves, institutions cannot afford such luxury. 💡 Reflecting on the #特朗普点名预测市场：要查内幕押注 incident: ▪️ On April 2, the Trump administration, in conjunction with the CFTC, filed a lawsuit against three states to block state-level regulation. ▪️ On April 23, during a media interview, he changed his tone, emphasizing that he personally does not support gambling and would investigate federal employees using insider information to place bets in prediction markets. ▪️ Meanwhile, the Justice Department arrested a U.S. Army Special Forces sergeant, Gannon Ken Van Dyke. (This is the first criminal case of insider trading in prediction markets in U.S. history: he was involved in planning the military operation to arrest Venezuelan President Maduro, betting $33,000 on Polymarket that Maduro would be ousted, netting a profit of $409,000.) 🤔 Is this contradictory? Many people's first reaction is indeed that the Trump administration is contradicting itself, but upon closer inspection, we can see that this is not a logical confusion, but a clear choice driven by interests. From a regulatory framework perspective: the CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction, and state-level regulation must yield, which is reasonable. However, in the soil where this logic operates: the regulators themselves are deeply entangled in conflicts of interest, and the fairness of the framework is fundamentally unsound. 👉🏻 Trump's eldest son is already deeply tied to prediction markets (he is both a paid strategic advisor for Kalshi and a board member of Polymarket), and the most profitable category in prediction markets is precisely the political uncertainty created by Trump himself. 👉🏻 Even more concerning is that the shadow of insider trading has already emerged (consider: U.S.-Iran ceasefire, Maduro operation, abnormal volume in crude oil futures, etc.👀) It can be said that the president's policies directly determine the outcome of contracts, the president's son sits on the profit chain of two major platforms, and the presidential family is also preparing to establish their own prediction market, Truth Predict, to participate directly. Blocking states out to reclaim exclusive jurisdiction— is it really for regulatory uniformity, or to keep the cake for themselves? No one can say for sure.🤫 Even the prediction markets have set their own rules: Kalshi banned three users from betting on election contracts in which they are running, citing that they cannot use their influence over the outcome to buy insurance for a guaranteed win. But who will supervise those who hold the greatest influence? Individuals can be forgiving of themselves, finding excuses for their choices. But institutions cannot have this luxury; when power and interests are intertwined, independent regulation loses its footing from the start and cannot reach a fair conclusion.

Alright, it's me again. I have been sharing the conveniences I gained as a beneficiary of AI with everyone, but in reality, I have also been suffering from AI's torment 😂 To be honest, figuring out how to use AI to improve work efficiency and save manpower has become one of our current work side lines. Before doing anything, we have to evaluate whether it's necessary for humans to do it, so every day we are dealing with AI. My feelings towards AI are quite complex; it is both a spear and a shield. 👀 Today, there are two AI-related news items in the market: one is that SpaceX has splurged $60 billion to lock in an acquisition option for the AI programming tool Cursor (that's right, not a direct purchase, but first locking in a "call option," and if they give up the right to exercise it, they still have to pay $10 billion); the other is #AI安全警报：Mythos首日失守 (Anthropic's newly released cybersecurity AI model Mythos, just two weeks old, was accessed by a Discord community on the same day). On one hand, AI helps us quickly write code and build systems, while on the other hand, it is also quickly finding vulnerabilities in that code and breaching those systems. Even a company like Anthropic, which can be considered at the top of security, can still be breached. 👉🏻 Putting myself in the picture, using AI for work every day is indeed fast and easy, but while we use AI, are we also being understood and dismantled by AI? 【Both the spear and the shield are getting stronger】 Thinking carefully, this is actually not a problem unique to AI. Every time humans invent a new tool, they go through this stage ⇩ • In ancient times, when fire was discovered, people used it for warmth and cooking, but they were also harmed and feared it. • In the Stone Age, stone axes and blades were created, which could hunt but also harm. • In the gunpowder age, gunpowder brought fireworks into existence, but it also amplified war. • In the steam age, machines liberated hands but also devoured the livelihoods of craftsmen. • In the electrical age, electric lights illuminated the night but also gave humanity the ability for remote destruction for the first time. • In the internet age, information flowed freely, but privacy also ran naked. 🛠️ Every time, tools are neutral, but the people using them are not. Now it's AI's turn; it is faster, smarter, and harder to control than any tool before. But essentially, we are still facing that ancient problem: how to use a tool after it is invented is always more important than the invention itself 🧐 Only this time, the time we have to think about it may be shorter than ever.

No specific topic, just a simple share, cheering again, 👏🏻 Claude is so useful!!! I have a habit of saving everything to my desktop on my computer, whether it's documents, videos, images, software materials, temporary backups, etc. (I call it my computer desktop palace, haha, only I know what’s on the left and right) A few years ago, when I was still using Windows, my computer often froze, and after switching to Mac, I became even more reckless with saving everything on the desktop without partitioning the hard drive. The most annoying part was always cleaning up the computer's storage space 😩 Today, I was reminded again that my storage was full, which forced many of my work systems to quit unexpectedly, feeling frustrated 😟 Once again, I resorted to the universal restart method, but unfortunately, it only provided a temporary fix. 💡 Suddenly, I thought to ask my Claude. So! 👉🏻 It directly generated a complete set of cleaning scripts for me, and after a quick operation, it took less than ten minutes! It directly solved the problem of my storage always being full. 🥰 Very nice (just a little share, I can't help but feel amazed. Not discussing the impact of AI on the industry, but for an ordinary person like me, it’s really convenient.)

❤️ Looking for original, sincere, high-quality content creation If you are confident in your post content and feel satisfied with what you've written, but struggle with getting traffic and interaction, feel free to tag me after posting for a front-row view✌︎˶╹ꇴ╹˶✌︎ 💡 A few small suggestions: (Let's all say no to plagiarism/fake content) (Even if AI assists in creation, don't silence your own voice; let your genuine personal opinions shine through as much as possible) (You don't have to write lengthy essays; being substantive will attract more interaction) Also, we are only looking for creative stars here, no promotions accepted („• ֊ •„)੭

Hey everyone, come join me to check out #Saylor再发BTCTracker信号 Saylor's accumulation signals have always been seen as a bottom indicator at the institutional level. Yesterday he released "Think Even Bigger" again, and according to past practices, specific buying data will be disclosed within 1-2 days～ According to on-chain data, Strategy has accumulated about $2 billion in chips over the past 11 days, and total holdings have reached the threshold of 800,000 coins. Looking at the timing this time: BTC dropped below $74,000, the fear index is only 27, just experienced a flash loan attack, and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz has flared up again—one could say he is making a move once again at a time of lowest market sentiment. From 670,000 coins at the beginning of the year to nearly 800,000 now, he has been adding to his position at every low point over the past three years. At this pace, reaching 1 million coins by the end of the year, accounting for nearly 5% of the total Bitcoin supply, is not impossible. Here’s a panoramic view of the accumulation, feel free to check it out 👇

Hey everyone! I'm Mihua, and today I want to have a serious chat about something that's happening: #Kalshi监管争议升级 The regulatory dispute between Kalshi and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is likely to end up in the U.S. Supreme Court for a ruling. The core of the disagreement boils down to a key question: should prediction markets be classified as "financial derivatives" or simply as "gambling activities"? 🤔 Some may feel that this matter has little to do with the domestic crypto space, but in reality, the Supreme Court's classification conclusion will directly determine the future survival and development space of well-known on-chain prediction platforms like Polymarket and Drift. Whether they can continue to maintain their current operating models depends entirely on the outcome of this ruling. Moreover, there are significant risk implications hidden behind this dispute. Just hours before the U.S. military airstrike in Tehran, users on Polymarket had already made accurate bets on this military action, ultimately profiting over a million dollars. After the incident was exposed, the White House issued an internal ban, explicitly prohibiting staff from using insider policy information to speculate in prediction markets. 📍 This also brings a very real question to the forefront: ▪️ Can the "decentralization" and "information discovery" attributes that prediction markets boast truly eliminate insider trading? ▪️ When some people know the outcome of events in advance, ordinary users are essentially gambling against informed individuals who have an information advantage, putting them at an absolute disadvantage from the start. 📍 Delving deeper: ▪️ If the Supreme Court ultimately rules that prediction markets are financial derivatives, then on-chain platforms like Polymarket and Drift will have to undergo comprehensive compliance transformations. KYC identity verification, real-time transaction monitoring, applying for formal licenses... Once a series of compliance requirements are implemented, it will not only significantly reduce user experience but also directly impact market liquidity. The current low barrier to entry for on-chain prediction markets, where "creating a wallet is enough to participate," may completely disappear. —— Essentially, this ruling is drawing a line on the legality of prediction markets: what category should they fall into, and what kind of regulation should they accept? 💬 Do you think prediction markets should be strictly regulated as financial products, or should they maintain their current development status? Can decentralization really solve the persistent issue of insider trading? Everyone is welcome to participate in the discussion on this topic; feel free to Q me for front-row viewing!

I really neglected my friends!! It's another round of creator incentive rewards being distributed, and I've received some early notifications from friends, along with various feedback and suggestions (including complaints). I feel deeply moved, So I want to make a small self-reflection: I've been busy every day lately and haven't interacted much with my friends. Many of you have posted in the circle for me to check out, and I haven't had the chance to like and comment on each one! I'm really sorry to everyone! From now on, every night before bed, I will strive to carefully and thoroughly read all the posts that are shared with me, and I will definitely send my most sincere ❤️❤️❤️.