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GM Wednesday 22/04 #KalshiPolyPerps Yesterday, the derivatives market had a rare coincidence: Kalshi (licensed by the CFTC in the US) and Polymarket (a Web3 platform) both announced they would launch crypto perpetual contracts on the same day. Kalshi starts with $BTC and a few major tokens, directly targeting the user base of Coinbase and Robinhood. Many analyses suggest that this is not a coincidence, but a reaction to Hyperliquid. Currently, Hyperliquid holds about $7.31 billion in open positions, more than the total of all other perp exchanges combined. $HYPE rose over 2% today after the news. Assessment ✍️The prediction market is entering derivatives. Previously, Kalshi and Polymarket only made event bets. One has a license, the other has a crypto community, both want a piece of the pie that Hyperliquid holds. ✍️The game in the US will be different. Kalshi is going the legal route, meaning US users can trade without needing a VPN. If liquidity is good, the flow of money from Robinhood and Coinbase may gradually shift, rather than just revolving around offshore exchanges. ✍️Hyperliquid is not easily replaceable. $7.3 billion in OI is not a number created overnight; it comes from the speed of order matching and on-chain experience. But competitive pressure will force them to expand their products faster. 👉I’m not in a hurry to long or short $HYPE based on the news. I will monitor the actual volume of Kalshi in the first week, as having a license is one thing, but liquidity is what truly matters. Do you think the market in the US will lean towards the licensed side like Kalshi, or will it stay with crypto-native platforms like Hyperliquid and Polymarket? $HYPE $BTC $SOL $OKB $ETH #StrategyBtcYield #WarshDigitalAssets

#KelpFundsLaundering Hello everyone, the KelpDAO incident resulted in a loss of nearly 293 million USD. The hacker distributed the funds across more than 400 wallets, converting $ETH to about 442 $BTC via THORChain, causing the bridge volume to increase tenfold in a day. 👉 There are damages, but the system's response was quite swift. Kelp halted the contract after 46 minutes, and Aave along with lending apps froze the related market on the same day. This shows that the emergency mechanism is still functioning, and the entire system is not paralyzed. 👉 The market is not in panic. $ETH and $AAVE have maintained their prices and even saw slight increases during the day, indicating that investors can distinguish this as an incident of a single project, not a fault of the entire DeFi. The fact that the hacker had to split the funds into 400 wallets also shows that the large liquidity still makes it difficult for them to sell quickly. ✍️ Lesson: This is a necessary test. Each incident like this helps cross-chain bridges and restaking projects reassess their security measures. For users, this is the time to review wallets, revoke long-granted permissions, and only keep funds in places that have been stable for a long time. There's no need to withdraw everything from DeFi, just be more selective. What about you?

Good morning everyone! #USIranCeaseCountdown Tonight, April 22, the ceasefire between the US and Iran officially expires. Just a few hours ago, Tehran confirmed it will not go to Islamabad for round two, while Trump stated outright that he will not extend it. Tensions escalated right after the US seized an Iranian ship in Hormuz, and Iran declared retaliation, leading to the Strait being closed again. The market reacted very quickly: Brent oil surged to around 90 USD, US stocks and TSX futures dipped slightly, but BTC remained around 75,800 USD, not falling in response to risk aversion. I don't see money fleeing from crypto; rather, I see volume on OKX still above 40 billion USD, resembling defensive behavior rather than panic. With the news just out, I am not entering a position based on the headline. I am only adjusting my risk management and will only consider accumulating if Hormuz reopens or there are signals of de-escalation before 11 PM UTC. If tensions persist, I prioritize cash. Are you viewing the ceasefire expiration tonight as a systemic risk or just short-term noise for BTC, and will you hold or trim your position before the deadline?

GM everyone! ✍️In the last 4 hours, BTC has been trading sideways around $74.8k to $75.7k after nearly hitting $76.9k yesterday, with a 24-hour range of about $73.7k to $76.2k and a slight decrease of about 1% due to news of Iran tightening the Strait of Hormuz. ✍️In the next 4 hours, resistance is at $75.8k to $76.2k, coinciding with your TP zone of 76.272, support is at $74.3k to $73.7k, close to SL 73.251 and further down is the liquidation price of 72.1k. ✍️If it holds above $75k, it could easily test back to 76k; if it breaks below $74.3k, there is a chance of a quick slide to 73.7k. ✍️This is a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell. With high leverage futures, it's best to keep an eye on macro news (oil, US interest rates) and consider reducing position size if you can't monitor the chart continuously. #DailyOrbit

"The Fed hearing is about to take place, and the cryptocurrency market remains cautious" #WarshHearingDay The market is reacting slightly ahead of Kevin Warsh's hearing, who could influence the direction of interest rates and how crypto is managed in the future. Although there have been no official changes, expectations for interest rate cuts and clear policies are causing large capital to temporarily stand by. From my perspective, the market is not afraid of bad news but rather of uncertainty, so money hasn't left but hasn't come back strongly either. BTC continues to play a key psychological role, $ETH follows the ecosystem's capital flow, $SOL reacts quickly to speculation, while $OKB is more stable based on fundamentals. ✍️Overall, the market is accumulating, with a cautious sentiment and no clear breakout signs yet. ✍️In the next 24 hours, it is highly likely to continue moving sideways within a narrow range, and a short liquidity sweep may occur before stabilizing again. @OKX Orbit @Renee_OKX BTC ETH OKB SOL OP

Hello everyone, #NoviceGrowthCamp is at OKX! 🚀 Have you ever thought about whether it's luck or discipline that helps you survive longer in the crypto market? 👉 Trading Perspective: Systematic Risk Management • Use only 5–10% of your funds for each trade • Always set a stop-loss (adjusted based on volatility to 5–8%) • Risk per trade ≤ 1% of total funds 👉 Novice Growth Path: • Stage One (Learning): Understand thematic reports + on-chain data (MVRV, SOPR, etc.) • Stage Two (Practical): Simulated trading + keep a trading journal • Stage Three (Psychological): 80% psychology – 20% technical, discipline determines survival 👉 Market View (April 2026): • Currently in the phase after the 2024 halving (bull market cycle lasts about 12–18 months) • Institutional capital inflow + high interest rate environment → altcoin season may be delayed • Pay attention to BTC Dominance and Total3 → altcoins are more likely to explode only when BTC.D < 52% ✍️ Questions for the community: • When did you first come into contact with BTC? • What was the most painful mistake you made when you first entered? • What strategy are you currently using on OKX? Why? 💪 Summary: The crypto market does not reward the fastest runners, but rather those with the most discipline. Good risk management = living longer = having a chance to win bigger. @OKX成长学院 @OKX Orbit $BTC $OKB $ETH

🚨 #USSeizesIranShip Today, the U.S. Marines officially boarded the Iranian cargo ship named TOUSKA in the Gulf of Oman. The USS Spruance destroyer intercepted the ship, maintaining position while awaiting an official response from Tehran for 6 hours. Not receiving any signals, U.S. forces proceeded to directly enter the engine room — this marks the first direct military contact since the escalation of the confrontation. Iran's response was swift and fierce: they immediately established a "Larak Corridor" through the Strait of Hormuz, imposing mandatory tolls and forcing 35 ships to turn back within just 36 hours. The current ceasefire is set to officially expire on Wednesday. The Tehran administration has publicly labeled President Trump's entire strategy as "psychological warfare" and rejected any further rounds of negotiations. Meanwhile, envoys Witkoff and Kushner are still en route to Islamabad today. The financial markets also reacted immediately: Bitcoin has breached the important support level of $74,000. This is no longer a typical blockade. The parties have officially crossed the red line — the situation is entering a phase of direct confrontation and risks escalating rapidly. $BTC $TRUMP $ETH @OKX Orbit #OKXOrbitTopics

DeFi liquidity update: Aave recorded a total capital withdrawal of $10.1 billion in the past day. Aave's TVL decreased by 31.7%, with the main lending pools reaching 100% utilization, and the borrowing rate for USDT rising to 15% APR. Abraxas withdrew $392 million, and MEXC withdrew $431 million. The price of AAVE dropped by 16%. Ethena, Reserve, and SparkLend have temporarily suspended some related functions to maintain operational stability. Bad debt currently stands at $177-200 million. The DeFi community is closely monitoring these liquidity fluctuations. #KelpFalloutHitsAave $AAVE $BTC $ETH

IRAN TIGHTENS THE STRAIT, OIL AND BTC TURN AROUND OVER THE WEEKEND #HormuzShutAgain: Iran's Foreign Minister announced yesterday the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, causing $BTC to surge past $77K, but within 24 hours, the Iranian military tightened control, blocking about 10 ships and leaving 20,000 sailors stranded in the Persian Gulf, citing that the U.S. continuously breaks promises. Iran refuses to negotiate further, calling the U.S. demands unreasonable. Trump responded that the blockade will remain until a deal is 100% completed and warned that war could resume if no agreement is reached before Wednesday. $BTC turned around, dropping below $76K, at the time of the snapshot down -0.7%, $ETH -1.53%. COINBASE PREMIUM POSITIVE FOR 9 DAYS, U.S. RETAIL QUIETLY ACCUMULATES AT $77K #BTCBottomPlayingOut: Contrary to geopolitical news, on-chain data is signaling a rare bottom formation. The funding rate for $BTC has been negative for 46 consecutive days, a phenomenon that has only occurred after the FTX incident in 2022 and in 2021, both times leading to significant upward waves. The RHODL Ratio just hit the third highest level in history, indicating that $BTC is shifting strongly from short-term speculators to long-term holders. Coinbase Premium has been positive for 9 consecutive days, confirming steady buying power from U.S. retail. $BTC has broken $77K with many confirmed bottom signals, although on-chain indicators are often lagging and history does not guarantee repetition. OKX also just pinned a post: many bottom indicators are aligning, and $77,000 could just be the beginning. Outlook for the next 24 hours: In the short term, the market will be influenced by the Hormuz news; if no agreement is reached before Wednesday, $BTC may easily test the 74K-75K range and $ETH around 2,250 USD due to risk-averse sentiment. However, the long-term structure supports the buyers, with record negative funding and accumulating holders; the geopolitical correction could be an opportunity to accumulate rather than panic. A reasonable strategy is to maintain a higher allocation in $BTC than in altcoins, closely monitor Wednesday's news, and the recently broken $77K level; if the daily candle closes above $77K after bad news, the probability that the bottom is in will increase significantly. @OKX Orbit #OKXOrbitTopics BTC ETH OIL WLI BNB SOL

THE HACK OF 292 MILLION DOLLARS SHAKES AAVE #KelpDAOExploited The hacker exploited a vulnerability in the lzReceive function of LayerZero on the Kelp DAO bridge, minting 116,500 rsETH worth approximately 292 million dollars. This fake rsETH was then used on Aave, Compound, and Euler as collateral to borrow 74,000 ETH. Just 46 minutes later, Kelp DAO had to lock the contract, while Aave immediately froze the entire rsETH market. The recorded bad debt damage reached up to 236 million dollars, causing the AAVE token to drop nearly 10%. The most controversial point is that on-chain data shows Justin Sun's wallet withdrew 53,665 ETH, about 126 million dollars, from Aave just 5 hours before the attack. The funds are still in the wallet, and the timing of the withdrawal raises significant questions in the community about whether there was prior knowledge of the attack. This is considered the largest DeFi hack of 2026, exposing serious risks of restaking and cross-chain bridges. In the next 24 hours, the market will closely monitor Aave's actions regarding the insurance fund and the possibility of the hacker dumping the borrowed ETH, which could put pressure on ETH and the entire DeFi sector. BTC | $AAVE | $ZRO | $EIGEN | $ETH #DailyOrbit #CoinMoveAlert @OKX Orbit